Saturday, August 1

Weekly Update 1 August 2009

This week we've got a doozy, and it is related to the Cash for Clunkers program. Congress appropriated a billion dollars - Yes, it is tax money. Yes, you are paying for it. - to pay car dealers extra money when they take an old car on a trade-in for a new car. The theory is that by taking money from the middle class taxpayer and giving it to GM and Chrysler, everyone benefits. (Don't try to understand it - it is so stupid only the extremely educated and the extremely powerful can pretend to get it.)

"The course of history shows that as a government grows, liberty decreases. – Thomas Jefferson"
The program has been so popular in its first week that billion dollars has already been soaked up. Congress, in its infinite stupidity, has added another two billion dollars to the program.Oh joy.

But that's not the real reason for the update this week. No, the real reason is the website that the government has established to provide information on the Cash for Clunkers program: cars.gov. I am intentionally NOT providing a link because you REALLY don't want to go there.

WHAT IT IS: If you use the cars.gov site, your computer then is considered to become the property of the Federal Government and they assume the right to access anything and everything on that computer.

This is not an exaggeration.
This is not a scare tactic.
This is not a mis-reading or twisting of information to suit my own purposes.

Here is the actual text from the cars.gov website describing the terms of use for the site:

"This application provides access to the DoT CARS system. When logged on to the CARS system, your computer is considered a Federal computer system and is the property of the US Government.

Any or all uses of this system and all files on ths system may be intercepted, monitored, recorded, copied, audited, inspected, and disclosed to authorized CARS, DoT, and law enforcement personnel, as as authorized officials of other agencies, both domestic and foreign."

WHY IT MATTERS: My simple goal for this weekly update is to highlight the news of the week that affects our freedom. I focus on the ways the government, (and their masters on Wall Street), steal our freedom by stealing our wealth. So, do I really need to spell out why this matters?

The federal government has now ceased to even pretend to be the servant of the people. They now treat us as slaves.
  • They take our property when they want: cars.gov.
  • They take our money when they want and give it to whomever they wish: the bank bailouts.
  • They take our liberty when they want: habeus corpus is suspended for anyone suspected to be a “terrorist threat".
  • They even take our lives whenever they want: Waco, Rudy Ridge and who knows what else that didn’t make the headlines.
WHAT YOU CAN DO: Two things - both very simple, but one easy and one very difficult:
First, refuse to use cars.gov. This is for your own protection. Tell everyone you know about this property grab by the government. Forward this link to your mailing list.

Second, make the decision today to be a free person and not a slave. A slave has only whatever freedom the master chooses to give it. If you acknowledge the government as your master, then you are already their slave.

But if you instead claim that your freedom belongs to you simply because you are human, and - most importantly - if you live that out, then you are a free man.

Just because they don’t use the terms “slave” and “master” doesn’t mean they don’t act as if they are the masters and we are the slaves. It doesn’t matter what they say, it matters what they do.

Freedom starts between your ears. No one can MAKE you be free, nor can you VOTE yourself freedom. You must choose to be free and then live that way. Starting today, choose to be free. Choose to live, think, work, act and play as a free person and not as a piece of property that the ruling class in Washington and Wall Street can move around and dispose of as they wish.

Do I sound like an extremist to you?

Perhaps I am. If so, I am in good company. A couple of quotes from Barry Goldwater.

"A government that is big enough to give you all you want is big enough to take it all away."

"Extremism in the defense of liberty is no vice. Moderation in the pursuit of justice is no virtue. "

Yours for Freedom...

Saturday, July 25

Weekly Update 25 July 2009

The news this weeks is misnamed mostly because - as the writer of Ecclesiastes said - there is nothing new under the sun. As the Government/Wall Street/Mainstream Media cartel go into full-on propaganda mode to tell us how everything is just peachy, we can continue to give thanks that Al Gore invented the internet, thus allowing us to bypass the "official" news and get our information straight and undiluted. I doubt that was really what Al had in mind.

According to the cartel, since things are getting worse slower than they were getting worse last year, things are officially getting better. Never mind that the jobless rate is climbing, debt is officially out of control, and the administration is determined to take on even more debt (healthcare) and hobble the economy even more (cap and trade). Never mind that by every meaningful measure, the economy is down in the basement and still digging. If you haven't read Alice in Wonderland, don't sweat it. Lewis Carroll never imagined anything as surreal as the reality we are living every single day.

Obama, (or as my friend Patrick calls him "Teleprompter Jesus"), apparently intends to be the new FDR, and he is following the script to perfection. The Great Depression was only "the depression" till FDR took over. His radical power grabs made the economy worse, (look it up for yourself), although in fairness he did get a lot of concrete poured and pecan trees planted. FDR's economy made no appreciable recovery throughout the 30s, so I guess we can prepare for three things - the economy will continue to suck, we'll be looking for another way - preferably a big one - and Obama will be sanctified if not outright deified by the same geniuses in the main stream media who used to NOT be bought and paid for by Wall Street.

Yeah, it's been that kind of week.

The news that interested me this week:

Schumer wants to curb traders' flash orders
What It Is: Senator Chuck Schumer is saying the right things about putting an end to "High Frequency Trading", a euphemism for the blatant market manipulation which Goldman Sachs & company have been engaging in for the last several years.
What It Means: As I have reported previously, Goldman Sachs is the biggest, most powerful, most corrupt and most corrupting influence in the US today. (The other big banks are complicit as well, but Goldman is by far the worst.) If Schumer has his way, Goldman will have to compete on an even playing field with the rest of the investors in the market.
Why It Matters: Though I doubt Goldman will allow Congress to stop this practice, and I am certain the SEC will do nothing to stop it, Schumer is at least shining a light on a very dirty practice that is robbing ordinary investors and is amplifying every move in the market, making rises and falls more violent and damaging.
What It Means To You: If you lost money in last year's market plunge, blame Goldman for the speed and violence of it all. If you know anyone who works for Goldman, you should shame them publicly. Seriously, outside of radical Islam, this bank is the most morally corrosive force in the world today.

End Note: I do not expect Congress to do anything about this because Congress and the Administration are bought and paid for by Wall Street. Believe me, Congress knows where the money that keeps them in power is coming from. So I no longer believe in lobbying Congress. They will not listen and the administration is a joke.

But I do believe it is time for you to bone up on your American history, specifically to read the list of reasons the colonies initially declared independence from the Mother Country. When neither the law nor morality matters to those in positions of power, it is time for us to say "no more". If I were you, I would learn what "non-violent civil disobedience" means. I'd start learning about Martin Luther King and Mahatma Gandhi and what action they took when they decided that the status quo had to be challenged.

Our government is no longer moral by any stretch of the definition of morality. Wall Street - specifically Goldman - is a den of thieves, Washington is their hand-puppet and the Main Stream Media their p.r. firm. Don't depend on those in power to relinquish their power. We - the people, by whose consent they govern - must cease to give our consent. That doesn't merely mean "vote 'em out of office." It means coming to the point where we declare with our actions that liberty is more precious than life.

Yeah, it's that serious.

Saturday, July 11

Weekly Update 11 July 2009

Happy week after Dependence Day.

I didn't publish the weekend of July 4th. I hope you survived. I'm back this week stories stories from the world of finance and economics that are interesting and pertinent to those who care about the cause of freedom. But first...

...I received a note this week from someone who was hysterical about the impending nationalised healthcare debacle. Before I make my comments, let me make one thing clear:

I am opposed without reservation to nationalized healthcare.

With that said, I want to respond to some of the scare-mongering coming from "my side".

The letter I was sent warned that seniors in England and Canada who need various sorts of cardio procedures cannot get them because they are too expensive. This is not true. In England and Canada, anyone who can afford to pay for healthcare outside the public system can still get whatever healthcare they want. That is just like America today, and just like it will be in America after healthcare is nationalized. If you can afford to pay for it, you will be able to get it.

It doesn't help us to claim that "old people won't be able to get healthcare". Seniors who cannot afford to pay for healthcare today will get less healthcare in the future. Those who can afford to pay for it will still be able to get it.

2. Many Americans who oppose nationalized healthcare talk as if the current American system works. It does not. Our current healthcare system is hopelessly broken. We have medical cartels, rules against publishing prices, price gouging, fraud and a ridiculous bureaucracy. I am not remotely in favor of nationalizing healthcare, but it is lunacy to argue that the current system is not broken.

If you truly care about individual liberty, then you must take responsibility to think for yourself. Personal Freedom and Personal Responsibility are the two sides of the same coin. Don't mindlessly parrot arguments - think for yourself.

Now, on to the headlines:

Artificial Trading Volume on the NYSE
What It Is
: The biggest banks in the world - Goldman-Sachs, Morgan-Stanley, BofA, Deutsche Bank, UBS, et.al - are exploiting a loophole in securities laws to artificially drive up trading volume on the NYSE.
Why It Matters: These banks are making money simply by creating artificial volume. It is manipulation without being technically illegal.
What It Means to the World: Once again, the largest financial institutions in the world are cheating. They are literally stealing from investors.
What It Means to You: The recent rise in the market in the last 3 months is bogus. If you are long stocks, keep your stops tight; a reversal is coming.

Emails indicate EPA Suppressed Report Skeptical of Global Warming
What It Is: Exactly what the headline says: EPA scientists submitted a 98 page report that warned against making hasty "decisions based on a scientific hypothesis that does not appear to explain most of the available data." An EPA official told the scientists that the Obama adminstration had already decided what to do and that this report was not welcome.
Why It Matters: Politics - not hard science - is driving the "Climate Change" agenda. Anyone who questions it is - at the moment - merely an irritant. In coming days, those who question the political orthodoxy will be treated as enemies of the state.
What It Means to the World: Not much. Were the US not running pell-mell down the path of economic destruction with all the debt the government has already incurred, the economic lunacy of the Kyoto Convention would be alarming. But the Billionaire Banker Bailout will destroy us long before the EPA can.
What It Means to You: Trading carbon-emission credits is going to be big business. If you own a business, it is time to educate yourself in "cap and trade".

Goldman-Sachs is the Epicenter or Evil in the World Today - if you read nothing else this week, please read this article.
What It Is: Matt Taibbi documents all the ways that Goldman Sachs has manipulated the financial markets in the last 20 years, how they have callously destroyed the bank accounts and the lives of literally millions of people, and how they are still doing it.
Why It Matters: There is no more evil organization in the world today. Those who defend GS thinking they are paragons of capitalism don't know what they are talking about. GS does not compete like a capitalist, they compete like a Mafia don. In fact, the Mob has nothing on GS.
What It Means to the World: GS operates for the benefit of GS and no one else. Laws that allow GS to lie, cheat, still and kill must be applied to these people.
What It Means to You: Goldman Sachs is directly, (although not solely) responsible for the financial crisis, the rise in your taxes, the rise in unemployment and the destruction of many large companies. They are enriching themselves at your expense and the government is acting as their agent. Just like the Mafia, as long as you tolerate it, they will continue it.

Wednesday, June 24

Weekly Update 27 June 2009

Curse the Darkness or Light a Candle?

These are indeed interesting times we live in, and we must be careful not to be people who complain yet do nothing to improve the world in which we live. There is no glory in saying "I told you so" when your dire predictions of doom prove to have been accurate. If you see trouble coming, don't merely talk about it - or worse, complain about it - do something constructive. Light a candle.

This week I finally started reading The Sovereign Individual: Mastering the Transition to the Information Age. It's been on my "must read" list for several years, but I didn't get to it until just today. The authors pinpoint many of the challenges facing our modern world, including the collapse of the economy, but their message is optimistic, not "gloom and doom". They consider the nation-state a relic of the industrial age and predict the end of nation-states as viable political entities. To put that into terms we can understand, they predict that the Government of The United States of America will cease to have political authority over Americans. What it does
not mean is "the end of America".

As I was telling a friend this week, it is important that we make a clear distinction between the government and our country. The US government is a dying pig that makes promises it cannot keep and bullies people around. America is a country, an idea and a people who share that idea and that geography. America can get along just fine without that ravenous, lying, violent government. In fact, we will get along a lot better without it. The transition will cause a lot of pain and fear, but we can take hope knowing that the end state is going to be a lot better.

With that in mind, let's see what's happened in the world this week.

Headlines of the Week

What it is:
Goldman-Sachs to pay record bonuses Goldman-Sachs told employees this week to expect the biggest bonuses ever.
Why it matters: When the government gave AIG some $80 billion late last year to "save them", AIG turned right around and sent $15 billion of that money to Goldman-Sachs. So your tax money is paying bonuses to the richest, most corrupt bankers on the planet. Think about that Goldman-Sachs banker sipping rare scotch on the porch of his vacation home in the Hamptons when you are trying to figure out how to make your mortgage payment.
What it means to the world: GS continues to make sure everyone else pays for their mistakes. If you or I had sold a bunch of worthless bonds to investors and then bought a bunch of worthless credit- default swaps on those bonds from AIG, we would first go broke and then go to jail when the government found out we had committed fraud. Not Goldman-Sachs though.
What it means to you: Your tax bill will be higher for years to come so that a handful of GS bankers can keep their vacation homes in the Hamptons. Remember that when the government fails, we won't have to put up with this kind of crap anymore.

What it is
: Riots in CHina After months of calm, there have recently been a spate of riots being reported in the Chinese media, or on the internet. Is this because media restrictions have been lifted, allowing news of riots to spread, or has there been a genuine increase in social tension in the countryside? It is impossible to tell. China no longer publishes the figures for how many riots take place each year, but most people put the figure at around 80,000 and the vast majority go totally unnoticed.

Why it matters:
The nattering boobs of the talking-head media machine are convinced that China will recover from the recession first and then lead the world into a brighter consumer future. But China is not recovering and in fact has deep, intractable issues that must be resolved before any sort of recovery or growth can occur.

What it means to the world:
There are several pieces to this puzzle:
  • China has millions of people who used to be peasants, then achieved middle class status, and are now out of work - people who will not willingly accept peasant status now. How you gonna keep 'em down on the farm (after they've seen Paree)
  • Political leaders always try to divert attention from their failings.
  • War is the most potent diversion there is.
  • China has a huge army.
  • China has a huge imbalance between the number of young men and marriageable women.
Put the pieces together.

What it means to you
: Do not plan on China pulling the US economy out of its slump. It's not gonna happen. You need to make plans to survive without the help of the Chinese dragon.

What it is: China - Economic Catastrophe Unfolding This falls into the category of "Important" as opposed to "Urgent" news. I urge you to read this entire article.

China has a real estate bubble just like we do, and a stock market bubble, just like we did, and an unwillingness to book losses, just like Japan did. In addition, they have a huge population of peasants who moved to the cities during the boom, (as the article says, "the largest migration of a population in human history"), and now they cannot find jobs. Exports are plummeting, the government is lying about the numbers, and - as per the previous story - riots are breaking out all over the country.

Why it matters: China is a tinderbox and we'd better pray that there are no budding Lenins, Stalins, Hitlers or Maos whiling away their time in a Chinese prison right now.

What it is: Insider Selling is the Fastest in 2 Years The people inside the largest publicly held companies in the us - people with intimate knowledge of their companies' propsects for the future, believe that the stock prices in their companies are going down, not up.
Why it matters: Since March 6th, the S&P500 index of the 500 largest companies in America has risen by more than 40%, from a low of 666 to a high of about 950. That means that the "dumb money" is driving this rally. The smart money is selling in anticipation of a fall.
What it means to the world: This stock market rally is a classic bear-market rally that traps the unsuspecting and destroys them. It is not a new bull market.
What it means to you: If you hold any long positions in the market, make sure you are either hedged or have stop-loss orders in place to protect your profits when the market falls.

What it is: Some additional updates on the bearer bonds saga:
Nothing about this story makes sense, other than this: worldwide confidence in the ability of the US government to pay its debts is growing increasingly shaky.

Till next week: Light a candle!

Saturday, June 20

Weekly Update 20 June 2009

This week is a little less eventful than last. We have no update on the rumored Federal Government Trading account at State Street, but we're keeping an eye on it. The government is saying that the $134 billion in bonds recovered by Italian border police last week were fakes, but they let the two guys go. Nothing about this story makes any sense - nothing. We may never get to the bottom of this, but I will point out that the men carried Japanese passports and that $134B is about 1/4th of Japan's holding of US debt. Draw your own conclusions.

This week's stories focus on the continuing effort by the media and the government to rob from us and enslave us. Enjoy:

Headlines of the Week
ABC TURNS PROGRAMMING OVER TO OBAMA; NEWS TO BE ANCHORED FROM INSIDE WHITE HOUSE
What It Is: ABC news is giving the Obama administration an hour of free air time to promote its Health Care plan.
Why It Matters: ABC and the White House are colluding to violate the FCC fairness doctrine, (but don't expect the FCC to do anything about it.)
What It Means To The World: The paper-thin divide between the government and the media is now officially shredded. Regardless of what you believe about nationalized health care, this cooperation between a government-protected and allegedly non-partisan broadcast company and the Executive Branch of government is nothing less than state-sponsored propoganda.
What It Means to You: It means nothing if you don't watch or if you watch and do nothing. But if you write ABC, their owners The Disney Corporation and their advertisers and declare your intent to boycott them all unless they give equal time to opposing viewpoints, it will mean a great deal.

What It Is: NY Times story from 2002 confirms that housing bubble was intentional
Why It Matters: The "Official Story" about the housing bubble and subsequent collapse is that "No one could have predicted it." This is patently false, as many people predicted it, among them Karl Denninger, Mish Shedlock, Nouriel Roubini and Peter Schiff. I'm sure there are others, but those are the four I know about who sounded the warning as early as 2005
What It Means To The World: The people currently in charge of "fixing" the economic mess are the same people who not only created it, but created it intentionally. This is not to say they intended to crash the world economy, only that they intentionally did all the stupid, illegal and immoral things that created the crash. Therefore, it is safe to assume that whatever they do, they will not be able to fix the problem.
What It Means to You: You should stop believing anything said by Hank Paulson, Ben Bernanke, Alan Greenspan, Timothy Geithner or anyone who is now or ever was employed by Goldman Sachs. These are the criminals who have consistently been wrong about everything, but they get rich anyway. They are proven to be liars of the worse sort and it is foolhardy to believe a liar.

What It Is: Chinese Analysts Pinpoints the Achilles Heel in the Economic Recovery
Why It Matters: He makes several important points:
1. The financial industry is a disproportionate size compared to the rest of the economy.
2. The financial industry salaries are several times higher than comparable positions in other industry
3. The finanical press has no incentive to be truthful in its reporting, and great incentive to always be bullish.
What It Means to the World: The talk of "green shoots" in the economic recovery is mere propaganda. The economy is not improving.
What It Means to You: Two things - first, this should confirm for you that you have other sources of economic news you can trust besides the Federal Reserve, the Treasury Department and their lapdogs in the financial press. Second, do NOT make financial commitments based on the erroneous belief that the economy is improving. There is a lot more pain to come.

What It Is: Moody's Warns of Multi-Level Downgrade of California Debt, California Aid Request Turned Down by US (two different stories)
Why It Matters: California's economy is the eighth largest in the world. This downgrade means that California will have to pay much higher interest rates to borrow money than it has had to in the past. The Federal government is saying they won't give California money, which means the legislature will have to get serious about making cuts to services. No one seriously believe's California has any chance of repaying its debt, but a downgrade by Moody's makes that opinion official.
What It Means to the World: All this talk of green shoots is baloney. California is essentially bankrupt. The federal government will undoubtedly loan the state more money, but it won't fix the problem anymore than all the other bailout programs have failed to fix the underlying problem.
What It Means to You: Expect interest rates to continue to rise. Make sure you know whether or not you hold any California state government bonds in your portfolio. A downgrade will hurt you.

And finally, in the category of "Interesting and a Little BBit Alarming" is this story about tapping your cellphone.

As always, if you don't want to get these updates anymore, just drop me a note, but if you DO like them, please pass them on.

Tuesday, June 16

Spot On Financial Analysis from a Chinese Analyst

This is some of the most succinct and compelling analysis I have seen yet. Here's the money quote:

"The Greenspan era has nurtured a vast financial sector. All the people in this business need something to do. Since they invest other people's money, they are biased toward bullish sentiment. Otherwise, if they say it's all bad, their investors will take back the money, and they will lose their jobs. Governments know that, and create noise to give them excuses to be bullish.

This institutional weakness has been a catastrophe for people who trust investment professionals. In the past two decades, equity investors have done worse than those who held U.S. market bonds, and who lost big in Japan and emerging markets in general. It is astonishing that a value-destroying industry has lasted so long. The greater irony is that salaries in this industry have been two to three times above what's paid in other sector."



Saturday, June 13

Weekly Update 13 June 2009

Last year, 2008, I spent the months of March, April, May, June & July bombarding you with emails imploring you to bombard your congressman with phone calls, letters, faxes and emails. The reason for my alarm was the financial time-bomb that was ticking and that I hoped Congress would have the courage and foresight to defuse. In July, Congress ignored us and voted to gift $800 billion to "bail out" Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. That was the point that I realized the game was over. The American government was no longer "of the people, by the people and for the people". We had told Congress - by a ratio of 300:1 - not to bail out Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac, and they ignored us. I could no longer ignore the reality that Congress was owned by the bankers.

I quit sending out updates at the point because I could not imagine wasting any more energy trying to get Congress to do the right thing. And I am glad I didn't because it would have been a waste of energy. Washington is owned by the bankers, and Washington does whatever the bankers say. I don't even feel a need to explain that assertion. If it is not obvious, then you are not paying attention.

That brings me to the substance of this letter.

As some of you know, I make my living as a trader. I'm involved in the markets all day, every day, and I spend most of my spare time in research, hoping to understand what is happening in the world that will affect my work. I love what I do. What I have recently begun to realize is that most of you do not have the time or the inclination to study what I study, and yet your lives are likely to be affected by the things I am discovering. For that reason, I have decided to do a weekly update of the news that I think is important for you to know and an analysis of why it is important. This is my view, my opinions, and is certainly subject to my own biases, so "Handle With Care".

I hope you enjoy it. If you don't want to get these updates, just drop me a line and I will remove you from the list. On the other hand, if you DO enjoy them, please let me know and always feel free to pass them along to others.

Headlines of the Week
Italian Border Patrol Confiscates $134 Billion
What It Is: Two men carrying Japanese passports tried to smuggle $134 billion in US Government Bonds into Switzerland from Italy. The US press has not reported this story. Conflicting reports on whether the bonds are real or counterfeit.
Why It Matters 1: $134B is an amount of money so large that only governments, the World Bank and the IMF would deal in those. If this is stolen, then what in the world is wrong with these governments or banks that they can't keep track of their investments? If it is not stolen, then why was it being smuggled into Switzerland?
Why It Matters 2: If they are counterfeit, it means that there are more counterfeit bonds out there, which could de-stabilize the already precarious bond market. If they are real, it means someone is trying to unload US Government bonds without selling them through the open market process, which could destabilize the already precarious bond market.
What It Means To The World: Big bond holders are worried that the US may default on its debt. Japan this week made a formal announcement that they are fully confident that the US will pay its debts. This is code for, "we are very worried about the US paying its debts."
What It Means to You: The cost of credit just took another body blow. If you are trying to buy or re-finance a house, the window to get a low-interest rate loan is closing fast. If you are trying to get a business loan, either for new credit or to roll over an existing loan, the cost of credit is going higher and higher. This is going to work against the government's attempt to goose the economy.

Government possibly interfering in the market via State Street
What It Is: An unsubstantiated report that the government has opened several private trading accounts with State Street Securities and is buying and selling securities through a single broker there.
Why It Matters: If true, it means the government is using government money to speculate in the market. Because of the nature of the account, the type of broker that State Street is and - most importantly - the amount of money the government has available to it, then the government is not merely speculating, it is directly influencing the market.
What It Means to the World: Nothing until substantiated, but could be very, very important if proven true.
What It Means to You: Nothing yet, but watch it.

Federal Reserve Transparency Act has 222 Sponsors
What It Is: A Ron Paul-sponsored bill to conduct a pricvate audit of the Federal Reserve.
Why It Matters: In theory, an audit of the Fed will show how their money is being used. The belief is that the Fed is violating its charter by buying and selling securities that are not 100% backed by the full faith and credit of the US government.
What It Means to the World: Nothing. The Congress will do whatever the bankers tell them to do. Even if this passes, nothing will change. Congress will not bite the hand that feeds it.
What It Means to You: You should learn to watch what the government does rather than listen to what they say. The government works hand-in-hand with the bankers. Ron Paul has his heart in the right place, and this makes for good political theatre, but Congress had the chance to do something meaningful last summer when we bombarded them with requests to not bail-out Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac. They instead obeyed their masters on Wall Street. Do not expect the government to do ANYTHING that harms the big bankers.

Government Overturns Contract Law in GM & Chrysler Bankruptcies
What It Is: The government ignored contract law when they compelled GM and Chrysler into bankruptcy. Senior debt holders who - under the terms of contract law - should have been first in line to be paid under the bankruptcy, were pushed to the back of the line and will get something like 17 cents on the dollar for their investment.
Why It Matters: The sanctity of private property and contracts is central to the functioning of a free society. This action by the government strikes at the heart of our free society. It also provides a disincentive for future investors to put their money into bonds for fear that the terms of the bond contract will be overthrown if the government deems it "necessary".
What It Means to the World: Investors will be far less likely to buy bonds issued by any company or municipality that has the slightest whiff of instability for fear that the government will simply ignore the law and trash the contract if they think it necessary. This will serve to drive the cost of credit higher, it will reduce the pool of available credit, and it will drive down the value of existing municipal and corporate debt.
What It Means to You: If you hold any sort of corporate or municipal bonds in your investment portfolio, you should find out exactly what those bonds are. If they are bonds backing any sort of entity that is at risk, you should consider moving into something less at risk of government intervention.

One Trillion Dollar Bill - Not news but funny

Friday, June 12

Almost Legendary Heist - Foiled!

Viva Italiana! Sometime in the last week, the Italian border patrol stopped a couple of Japanese nationals with $134 billion dollars in US Bearer Bonds trying to cross into Switzerland.

A hundred and thirty four BILLION!

If these are counterfeit, it's the greatest counterfeiting job in history. If they are real, then this is even bigger news.

Doncha wonder why this isn't being reported ANYWHERE in US papers of record like say, the New York Times, Washington Post or Wall Street Journal? (Bloomberg has a wee bit.)

Maybe the bankers and their lapdogs at Treasury are scared spitless about this. Maybe they should be.


Thursday, June 11

The REAL Role of the Fed

Excellent article on what the Federal Reserve is really in business to do. Key point, "pay attention to what they do, not to what they say."

Wednesday, April 22

Parting Company

Walter Williams explains that political divorce is more peaceful than actual murder. An awful lot of people seem to think that actual murder (war) is better than political divorce. Why?

Tuesday, April 21

Monday, April 6

Tuesday, March 31

Who Do You Believe?

Obama and AIG: the numbers tell one story, Obama tells a different one. Which do we believe?

Thursday, March 26

I have NEVER seen a dressing down of a head of government to compare to this.



Wednesday, February 25

The Feds Screw Us Some More

The guy who actually is in charge of oversight for the SEVEN HUNDRED BILLION DOLLAR Troubled Asset Relief Program, (TARP), says it is "ripe for fraud".

I think I'll have a heart attack and die of "not surprised".

The High Cost of Good Intentions

Remember when The World As We Know It was going to end last September unless Congress threw $800 billion at the banks?

Well, here's how some of that money was spent. We overpaid $78 billion dollars for bad assets that the government has no business owning.

Now that's what I call seriously throwing good money after bad.

Tuesday, February 24

Ten Years Ago

This piece from the September 30, 1999 issue of the New York Times tells about a program initiated by Fannie Mae to "help increase home ownership rates among minorities and low-income consumers." And how would this program increase home ownership? Ah, it was a brilliant plan - brilliant I tell you:
The action, which will begin as a pilot program involving 24 banks in 15 markets -- including the New York metropolitan region -- will encourage those banks to extend home mortgages to individuals whose credit is generally not good enough to qualify for conventional loans.
To be honest, they didn't do it our of pure altruism; there was some "pressure" applied by various parties also deeply interested in the welfare of minorities and low-income consumers.
Fannie Mae, the nation's biggest underwriter of home mortgages, has been under increasing pressure from the Clinton Administration to expand mortgage loans among low and moderate income people and felt pressure from stock holders to maintain its phenomenal growth in profits.
But hey, they were just doing it for the children, weren't they? And how did they propose to help those minorities and low-income consumers? With a plan that was a brilliant as it was daring: they would loan money to people who couldn't repay it!
In addition, banks, thrift institutions and mortgage companies have been pressing Fannie Mae to help them make more loans to so-called subprime borrowers. These borrowers whose incomes, credit ratings and savings are not good enough to qualify for conventional loans, can only get loans from finance companies that charge much higher interest rates -- anywhere from three to four percentage points higher than conventional loans.
I just feel a warm glow all over knowing that the government cares so much about minorities and low-income consumers, don't you?

And now, after the government has done so much to help, they are going to do even more!

Oh, I am flushed with giddy anticipation at the wonders our Glorious Leaders have planned for us poor minorities and/or low-income consumers ten years from now. I mean, who could have guessed ten years ago that these programs would be so stunningly successful? The sourpuss who wrote this piece did mention a wee tiny dark cloud on the horizon, a cloud no darker than a man's hand, one might say:
Fannie Mae is taking on significantly more risk, which may not pose any difficulties during flush economic times. But the government-subsidized corporation may run into trouble in an economic downturn, prompting a government rescue similar to that of the savings and loan industry in the 1980's.
Good intentions are really all that matters, and no one but no one has more good intentions than Our American Government.


Call your Congresscritter. Make their lives as miserable as they have made yours.



I added a new post to Rockonomics today, for those of you interested in trading-related stuff.

Thursday, February 19